As trend followers push through one of the toughest environments in years, Rich and Niels unpack what’s actually driving the pain. They draw a sharp line between two camps in the industry - those who focus on standalone market behavior and those who manage trend as a portfolio-level phenomenon, and explain why that distinction now matters more than ever. From the ripple effects of tariff policy to the quiet fragility in institutional positioning, this episode traces how structural shifts are colliding with legacy assumptions. Also on the table: AI’s growing role in model development, the hidden costs of bad data, and what it really takes to build a resilient, scalable process in a world where noise is cheap and conviction is rare.
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50 YEARS OF TREND FOLLOWING BOOK AND BEHIND-THE-SCENES VIDEO FOR ACCREDITED INVESTORS - CLICK HERE
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Episode TimeStamps:
00:13 - Introduction to Systematic Investing
03:55 - The Shift Towards AI in Trading
11:25 - The Rise of Idiosyncratic Trend Following Post-2020
21:42 - The Impact of Recent Market Dynamics
25:39 - The Rise of Retail Trading in Futures
34:09 - The Panama Method of Historical Adjustments
42:32 - Understanding Backtesting and Data Integrity in Trading Models
47:36 - Navigating Capital Constraints in Trend Following
55:14 - Understanding AI in Trading Strategies
01:00:14 - The Challenges of AI in Trading and Strategy Development
01:04:44 - The Impact of AI on Humanity
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PLUS: Whenever you're ready... here are 3 ways I can help you in your investment Journey:
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2. Daily Trend Barometer and Market Score
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3. Other Resources that can help you
And if you are hungry for more useful resources from the trend following world...check out some precious resources that I have found over the years to be really valuable. Click Here
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