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Episode 4: Respect the Polygon
Against the Rules with Michael Lewis
Nate Silver - The Goodwill Hunt of Political Forecasting
Nate silver is a celebrity lteke statistician. He's the goodwill hunting of political prognostication. His better insights into polling data had allowed him to see that o bama was basically always doing better than political pundants thought he was doing. Polling data is a bit like the data that card counters get in blackjack. It helps you to predict what comes next, even card counters lose lots of hands.
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