Today, I'm joined by Alan Dunne to discuss the ‘treasury tsunami’ and the current challenges that the economy faces, the state of the Japanese and Chinese economy and the fear of ‘Japanification’, what is a reasonable return expectation for the different asset classes and why you should allocate to trend following despite the scepticism surrounding it. We also discuss how we are witnessing a slow burning Minsky moment in terms of debt and the refinancing risks that will emerge in the coming years, why meaningful allocation to markets is more important than allocating to too many markets and much more.
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Episode TimeStamps:
01:30 - What's been on Alan's radar in recent weeks?
03:54 - The big macro picture
12:26 - A treasury tsunami is coming
17:29 - Why has the economy stayed strong?
21:13 - A fear of Japanification
26:28 - Industry performance update
28:39 - A period of dispersion
33:36 - Calculating the return expectations
41:26 - Don't sleep on trend following
47:47 - Slow burning Minsky moments
55:22 - A conversation with Christopher Zook
01:01:18 - Charlie Munger article about diversification
01:08:34 - Thanks for listening
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