
OpenAI's "Planning For AGI And Beyond"
Astral Codex Ten Podcast
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AI Decelerationist Mental Gymnastics
Three lines of reasoning argue that burning a lot of timeline now might give us a little more timeline later. For example, it's only worth burning timeline to establish a lead if you can actually get the lead and keep it. The alignment researchers I've talked to say they've already got their hands for with existing AIs. They would be happiest getting to really understand what's going on now before the next generation comes out. All these arguments for burning timelines require lots of things to go right later. Scott writes, open AI wants to sound exciting and innovative but this is obvious self promotion. Here's another fake tweet from ExxonMobil also labeled satire please.
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