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Blindspots, Bias, Billionaires and Bridgewater with Dr. Adam Grant

The Science of Success

CHAPTER

How Can We Improve Our Creative Forecasting Skills?

Even the most creative and successful people had essentially zero predictive ability to determine whether their next kind of roject would succeed or not. A former student, justenberg, wanted to follow up on that and figure out how we can all improve our creative forecasting skills. He studied circus artists, think circus ole; he got over a hundred of them to submit videos o brand new acts that had never been seen before. And then he had different groups rate them, actualy, had them rank them. The more different it was, the more likely they were to reject.

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