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Collin Burns On Discovering Latent Knowledge In Language Models Without Supervision

The Inside View

CHAPTER

How Much Energy and Effort Will You Put Into Getting Superhuman Level in Math?

Some people think that we can get like spare human in math in a few years and then the number that keeps coming is something like gold medal by 2026 or superhuman level by 2027. In my opinion I am going math is kind of hard to get, but it definitely seems very plausible. It also depends on how much energy and effort is actually put into that. So for example if you know the entire ML community just tried really hard to solve math like in like by 2026 I would bet like 75% or something that we get I am out by then or something like that maybe higher.

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