Is China the Next Hegemon?

A billion people will starve to death, and two billion will be malnourished if the US withdraws from the world. Zion asserts that everything we know about modern manufacturing ends when some nation shoots at a single commercial ship. But it's not as if a switch gets flipped, rather we would enter a time of profound uncertainty. Does this uncertainty play out in the fashion dahlio predicts, with China ending up on top? Or does it play out like Zion predicts,. or perhaps it never happens at all? Which I guess is what Deutsch would predict?"