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Tyler Cowen - Talent, Collapse, & Pessimism of Sex
Dwarkesh Podcast
What Makes a Novelist So Hard to Predict?
There's something quite discreet about a novel that, until a person has done it, it's hard to tell how good they are. And what do you think makes a novelist so hard to predict? They can blossom much later, and very often they do. Very high percentage of them are women whose earlier lives are interrupted, often by children. But not only that, gets back to the late bloomers thing.
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