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Michael Morell on the Top Global Threats in 2022

Intelligence Matters

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The Probability of a Nuclear War

I don't think president byden wants another war in the middle east. And politically, i think it would open him up to a significant primary challenge from the left if he decides to run again. The sautes will pursue a nuclear weapon or purchase them from the pakistanes. I'd put this the scenario at 80 % probability. There are many reasons why being president of the united states is the toughest job in the world. Managing national security decisions is probably the biggest. It's going to be an interesting and a critically important year.

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