Philip Tetlock - EDGE Master Class 2015: A Short Course in Superforecasting, Class V Part II [9.22.15]
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The Importance of Public Debate
"I like a place to sort of build up big consequences, try my abilities," he says. "The incentivizing people to become super forecast is maybe an important part of improving the probability estimate stream but it's a secondary goal to the societal goal" The ability to record my own prediction, my own forecast, in a way that I can revisit it when I turn out to have been wrong is the most important learning part of this whole process."
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