2min chapter

GoodFellows: Conversations from the Hoover Institution cover image

Sticks, Carrots...Baby Carrots: Rep. Mike Gallagher on the China Threat | GoodFellows: John Cochrane, Niall Ferguson, H. R. McMaster | Hoover Institution

GoodFellows: Conversations from the Hoover Institution

CHAPTER

Is There a Strategy for Defeating Taiwan?

I worry a little bit that we are gung ho about Taiwan without having a particularly good strategy for the eventuality of a crisis. And there's no question that US politicians, including the former Speaker Nancy Pelosi, acted in the visits as if Taiwan is an independent country. I spent enough time in Beijing to see why the Chinese leadership think there's a deviation from the status quo going on. We're not really credibly able to deter China at the moment. Let's just talk hypothetically about next year if we get into that situation. That's my biggest short run concern.

00:00
Speaker 3
And there's no question that US politicians, including the former Speaker Nancy Pelosi, acted in the visits as
Speaker 4
if Taiwan is an independent country. And
Speaker 3
I spent enough time in Beijing to see why the Chinese leadership think there's a deviation from the status quo going on. And I worry a little bit that we are gung ho about Taiwan without having a particularly good strategy for the eventuality of a crisis. Let me put it to you that next year, I don't think it'll happen this year, but next year with the Taiwanese election in January, the US presidential election in November, it's going to be a very dangerous time if we carry on down this road because we are nowhere near the British Colby's strategy
Speaker 4
of denial. We're not really credibly able to deter China at the moment. I worry a lot that
Speaker 3
the Biden administration failed to deter Putin. I mean, let's not forget you failed to deter him with respect to Ukraine. And I worry that they're going to fail to deter Xi Jinping with respect to Taiwan. And then we're really going to be stuck with a much bigger, much tougher situation. If let's suppose the Chinese blockade Taiwan. I don't think going to be some visions what we should really be focused on. Suppose they blockade it. What do we do? Do we really have in your eyes, a credible plan for next year? Let's just talk hypothetically about next year if we get into that situation. That's my biggest short run concern. I'd love to get your current thoughts on that.

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