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GoodFellows: Conversations from the Hoover Institution

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Empires and Emerging Powers

This chapter explores the lifespan of empires through the lens of Sir John Glubb's theories, questioning the longevity and stability of nations, particularly the United States as it nears its 250th anniversary. The discussion expands to potential rising powers by 2050, like India and Turkey, examining factors that influence their trajectories, including economic growth and geopolitical dynamics. It further delves into the implications of global trading blocs and recommendations for biographies that illuminate the nature of political leadership.

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