Reflections on Military Balance and Future Insights

Day 1,085.

Please note: today's episode was recorded hours before the phone call between President Trump and President Putin. This will be covered in detail in tomorrow's episode.

Today, we report on the ballistic missiles that fell on Kyiv and other cities overnight, consider the American and Ukrainian approaches to forthcoming talks, and hear from a range of experts on the pivotal issues of the moment ahead of the Munich Security Conference.

Contributors:

Francis Dearnley (Executive Editor for Audio). @FrancisDearnley on X.

Dominic Nicholls (Associate Editor of Defence). @DomNicholls on X.

Francis Dearnley (Executive Editor for Audio). @FrancisDearnley on X.

Ben Barry (Senior Fellow for Land Warfare).

With thanks to our guests Meia Nouwens and Fenella McGerty.

Content Referenced:

Peace talks with Russia at risk after strike on Kyiv injures four (The Telegraph):

https://www.telegraph.co.uk/world-news/2025/02/12/nine-year-old-girl-injured-russian-missile-attack-kyiv/

Putin’s Ukraine: The End of War and the Price of Russian Occupation (Foreign Affairs):

https://www.foreignaffairs.com/ukraine/putins-ukraine

The New American Imperialism (Francis Fukayami in Persuasion):

https://www.persuasion.community/

Zelensky: Europe cannot guarantee Ukraine’s security without America (The Guardian):

https://www.theguardian.com/world/2025/feb/11/zelenskyy-europe-cannot-guarantee-ukraines-security-without-america

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