The Importance of Uncertainty in Science

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If we distrust scientists, then how do we make progress on topics like this? Right, because besides scientists, who else is actually studying climate change deeply and trying to figure out what the danger is. So uncertainty is kind of like a technical term. It's not like a reason for distrust. I guess it feels kind of like that word out in the public, uncertainty means something different.

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What are "shed" and "cake" projects? And how can you avoid "shed" projects? What is the "jobs to be done" framework? What is the "theory of change" framework? How can people use statistics (or statistical intuition) in everyday life? How accurate are climate change models? How much certainty do scientists have about climate change outcomes? What are some promising strategies for mitigating and reversing climate change?

Cassandra Xia (@CassandraXia) is the creator of Adventures in Cognitive Biases and co-founder of the non-profit Work on Climate. She is fascinated by how human biases affect the actions we take as a society and how to hack human psychology to get the change that we want. She is previously affiliated with the MIT Media Lab, MIT CS department, and Google AI. More of Cassandra's work can be found at cassandraxia.com and workonclimate.org.

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