Summary: Tariff Outcomes and Capital Flow Shifts

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Brad Setser, Whitney Shepardson senior fellow at the Council on Foreign Relations (CFR), returns to Monetary Matters to share how China’s growing export dominance is squeezing the balance of payments position of the U.S., Europe, and many other countries as well. Recorded on October 10, 2025.

Relevant articles by Brad:“China’s Stealth Trade Surplus”: https://www.cfr.org/blog/chinas-stealth-trade-surplus

“China’s Data Still Doesn’t Add Up”: https://www.cfr.org/blog/chinas-data-still-doesnt-add

“China’s New Intervention Rule”: https://www.cfr.org/blog/chinas-new-intervention-rule

“China is also Fighting a Trade War with Europe (and Winning)”: https://www.cfr.org/blog/china-also-fighting-trade-war-europe-and-winning

“The Case that China is Now Actively Resisting Pressure on the Yuan to Appreciate”: https://www.cfr.org/blog/case-china-now-actively-resisting-pressure-yuan-appreciate

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