Raoul Pal's 35% Correction Call

In this Thanksgiving week Crypto 101 Podcast, Tevo, Brian, and Brendan unpack a wild month in crypto — from major liquidations to signs of a market bottom. They analyze RSI levels, short-term holder capitulation, and long-term fundamentals while breaking down the controversial MSCI proposal that could exclude crypto-linked companies like MicroStrategy. Other highlights include Raoul Pal’s eerily accurate 35% correction call, rising institutional ETH buying through Bitmine, and the debut of meme and multi-asset ETFs. The team wraps up with lighter topics like South Korea’s new leverage trading rules, the Monad ICO launch, and a heartfelt Thanksgiving message to listeners.

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Chapters

00:04 — Intro: Thanksgiving week episode, market volatility recap, and Fear & Greed Index setup.

03:23 — Market overview: Bitcoin, Solana, and Ethereum stabilize after major drop.

06:45 — Brendan’s technical analysis: liquidation effects, leverage wipeouts, and market ripple impacts.

09:50 — Bitcoin chart breakdown: RSI, consolidation zones, and signs of a potential market bottom.

16:49 — Long-term vs. trader mindsets and Bitwise perspectives on Bitcoin fundamentals.

18:51 — Short-term holder capitulation: 6% of Bitcoin supply trades between $83K–$86K.

23:47 — Pain metrics: 75% of Solana holders at a loss, signs of capitulation across markets.

27:55 — MSCI controversy: potential exclusion of crypto-related stocks like MicroStrategy from major indexes.

34:43 — Scaramucci returns: discussion on exchange “glitch” theory and market shakeout.

46:29 — Raoul Pal’s 35% correction prediction and macro cycle reflections.

47:40 — Fed politics: Trump’s potential Fed Chair picks and prediction market bets.

51:33 — Institutional buying: Bitmine increases ETH exposure, ownership jumps from 6% to 32%.

53:53 — Meme coins and ETFs: Dogecoin ETF launch, Solana inflows, and multi-asset ETF speculation.

57:21 — South Korea introduces training requirements for leveraged ETF trading.

58:23 — Monad token launch on Coinbase and blockchain gaming with bro.fun demo.

01:02:14 — Closing thoughts: gratitude for the community and Thanksgiving sign-off.

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