
Grading My 2018 Predictions For 2023
Astral Codex Ten Podcast
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Is There a Truck Apocalypse Before 2023?
There will not be a truck apocalypse before 2023. Nobody is talking about technological unemployment because unemployment rates are historically low. AI risk as a field subjectively feels more or the same or less widely accepted than today, and that's 50%, 40% and 10%. And quote. The European Union will not collapse. It will get some credibility by being halfway competent at its economic mission. nobody will secede from anywhere. Miri still exists in 2023, 80%. 7. I grade 1, 5 and 6 is coming true, 2, 3 and 4 is not coming true, and 7 as more in quotes - all of which I got directionally correct. Overall grade, A.
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