What Are the Pitfalls of Prediction?

I take complete ownership over this bad prediction because it brings such a great general lesson which is, number one, how hard it is to predict the future. And i think if people get rewarded for good predictions, they should also be punished for bad predictions. I actually think this is an awesome, awesome opportunity to talk about all the pitfalls of prediction. So leve it. The other predictions you made ten years that turned out better than your views on cristo currency? I think i have made a couple of good predictions among the many that have made, most of which probably were wrong. One we made 20 years ago, john donew and i was that crime in the us would continue to