What Happens if We Lose the Electoral College by Two Points?

Obama won the popular vote but only by 40,000 votes spread across a handful of states. If black turnout or support among black voters drops by a point or two, we lose Georgia, Michigan, Pennsylvania, and that's it. Same thing with the Latino vote. Like I looked at the nation's piece and not only do Republicans over-perform in districts with large black and Hispanic populations,. So we have a lower turnout there. Having your coalition rest on a bunch of Republican leading voters who just voted for your party because the other candidate was extreme is not a good idea.