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Andrew McAfee on the Geek Way

EconTalk

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The Press Secretary Problem: Confidence vs. Reality

This chapter examines the 'press secretary problem,' a cognitive bias where individuals maintain an inflated self-image that influences social dynamics. It discusses the evolutionary origins of overconfidence and its role in group cohesion, particularly in social and scientific contexts. The chapter critiques the peer review process, advocating for open dialogue and collaboration as more effective approaches to truth-seeking and idea refinement.

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