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The Myth of the Hot Hand in Basketball
myth is that when shooting free throes, basketball players get on opeople believe that basketball players get a hot hand. Eple isn't saying basketball players don't have streaks. He's saying we draw the wrong conclusion about these tricks. People expect a coin flip of 50 % probability to alternate a lot more than it actually does. So when you see randomness out in the world, it actually looks more ordered to you than it really is.