Supply Shock cover image

A 2023 Global Macro Outlook | Joseph Wang & George Goncalves

Supply Shock

00:00

Is the Yield Curve Getting More Inverted Than It Is Now?

From like 2009 again through 2019, the curves just got flatter and flatter. There was one instance of a bear steepening that happened around the taper tantrum in 2013. But outside of that, it literally was always on a flattening posture. If it's at 80 basis points of inversions, two tens, that means the Fed is pivoting in a matter of weeks.

Transcript
Play full episode

The AI-powered Podcast Player

Save insights by tapping your headphones, chat with episodes, discover the best highlights - and more!
App store bannerPlay store banner
Get the app