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The "Ides of March" Edition

Rational Security

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The Chinese Invasion of O Tiwan

i am lowering my estimate of a chine, of a imminent chinese invasion of o tiwan for a number of reasons. I hesitate to draw too many one to one lessons about how the war is going krane and how an effort would go against tiwan. It's just such a fundamentally different conflict. You don't have supply lines that you can constantly be feeding arms in much smaller population and territory than u krane. The united sates ave been hardening tyan for decades, decades, and increasing it in recent so a. i do think that's reason to giva say, maybe the united states can make hardened targets a lot more effectively than we might have estimated

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