"Moment of Zen" cover image

AI open letter debate, "pausers", and what we're all scared of with AI with Anton Troynikov, Flo Crivello, and Nathan Labenz

"Moment of Zen"

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Why Is a Pause So Bad?

The flip the grokking of the hindsight bias kind of suggests that nobody knows you know the this smooth loss curve shows. apparently just ever so slightly better behavior on all these token predictions but individually there are more like threshold effects where GPT-1 or ADA can't do the hindsight thing and GPT-3 is even worse than it used to be. So then I just kind of come back to why is a pause so bad and especially for you flow like if you think that there is real danger here you're at a five to ten percent risk, he says. "I mean good God we just went from 10th percentile on the bar to 90thpercentile on the bar with

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