Instability Spreads to Russia's Southern Border
Deep Dish on Global Affairs
The Role of Russia in Resolving Conflict in the Caucases
Both kirgistan and tajikistan have historically been very loyal to russia. But i think the that dynamic may be shifting, partly because russia hs its, as you said in your intro, has its hands full in in a in ukraine. The sort of, the wider security context is is less a sort of russia itself as an immediate am mediator or peace keeper. I think that the sort of domestic political situation in in tajigistan in particular, is more important for explaining the timing than the kind of wider geo political context.
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