Instability Spreads to Russia's Southern Border
Deep Dish on Global Affairs
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The Role of Russia in Resolving Conflict in the Caucases
Both kirgistan and tajikistan have historically been very loyal to russia. But i think the that dynamic may be shifting, partly because russia hs its, as you said in your intro, has its hands full in in a in ukraine. The sort of, the wider security context is is less a sort of russia itself as an immediate am mediator or peace keeper. I think that the sort of domestic political situation in in tajigistan in particular, is more important for explaining the timing than the kind of wider geo political context.
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