2min chapter

Clearer Thinking with Spencer Greenberg cover image

Everyday Statistics and Climate Change Strategies (with Cassandra Xia)

Clearer Thinking with Spencer Greenberg

CHAPTER

The Power of Expected Value

Expected value is really a decision-making tool, right? Like by thinking about a decision you have to make in the world, you can think about which one has the highest expected value. For example, if you're playing a betting game, like poker, if you are making relatively small bets, if you try to maximize expected value, you'll actually do the best over a long period. But so that's kind of what I see as one of the most powerful reasons to understand expected value.

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