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The Next Big Short: The Debt Supercycle | Vincent Daniel, Porter Collins

Forward Guidance

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The Importance of Leverage in the Great Recession

The financial, the regulated financial system has been in a, in sort of a, in a bad way for a while. So when we think about walking into the Great Recession, one of the simple little ratios we looked at was a bank's capital relative to its assets. Steve really didn't do any modeling. He modeled two things. First was he modeled city groups balance sheet. I think he just had leverage. He just did equity of assets and something else. And then Deutsche Bank, towards the end, when it got bad, he started doing that Deutsche Bank as well. But that was the only two things he kind of ever made. That's all you really needed to look at

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