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Is There a Thucydides Trap?
There is no Thucydides trap. Wars are so costly that even if we have this incentive to lock in our advantage, we often don't because it's too costly or we find ways to make commitment. Vladimir Putin is a personalized dictator. He doesn't bear most of the costs, so he can be quick to use violence. Splinter and spoiler groups are sort of a special case of this: It's not the top top leader, but it's somebody in the middle or middle high who says, you know what? This leader, this ultimate leader is trying to take my group towards peace. I'm kind of curious of Tenny. Like, does that happen on the streets