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How to Make Accurate Forecasts
Spencer Greensburg: If I had to just use one source, that's probably what I would use as well. He says Philip Tettlock is kind of the grandfather of forecasting research and has been working on this project for 40 years. The good judgment project tries to identify people who have very good judgment overall and then try to get wisdom out of them for the general public. And maybe we can get you back on the 80,000 hours podcast to be the first guest to come on for the third time.