The Danger of Predictive Methods

Selden's law is that if you make a scary prediction, people will pay attention to it and prevent it from coming true. We exist today because of dire warnings like Dr. Strangelove on the beach or war games which warned us about failure modes that might cause nuclear war. So what happens is that Marx created a dire, what was taken in the east to be a wonderful prescription, and it didn't work. Right. Lenin even knew right then that Marx was wrong, but he had the power in his hands,. And so he recreated a feudal regime because he was a male with power.