3min chapter

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#48 - Brian Christian on better living through the wisdom of computer science

80,000 Hours Podcast

CHAPTER

The Intuitive Principle of Higher Confidence

i think the intuition is pretty clear, is? Y, and it sort of withstands you using different statistical measures of upper confidence. It's partly a function of the nature of the canonical multior bannet problem that if you put a dollar into the machine, your losses are bounded at one dollar. And so in some ways, the maximum cost for for trying something and concluding that it was a waste of time is one dollar. But as an idea, i think it's pretty, pretty robust and kind of suggestive across much broader swat.

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