15min chapter

Many Happy Returns cover image

Mean Reversion in Markets: What Goes Up Must Come Down?

Many Happy Returns

CHAPTER

Mean Reversion in Market Valuations

This chapter explores the idea of mean reversion in stock market valuations, focusing on the elevated forward price-to-earnings multiples in the US compared to historical averages. The discussion also examines the implications of current market conditions on investment strategies, particularly the contrasting valuations of small-cap and large-cap stocks. Additionally, it delves into the cyclical nature of market psychology and the potential factors driving profit margins, suggesting that current trends may revert to historical norms.

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