Eight: Prof Hilary Greaves on moral cluelessness, population ethics, & harnessing the brainpower of academia to tackle the most important research questions
Effective Altruism: An Introduction – 80,000 Hours
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Is There a Causal Epistemic Decision Theory?
A causal epistemic decision theory fails to match the way most people's intuitions behave about what's actually rational. Verse: Is there an intuitive explanation of what goes wrong with just causal decision theory? Ocase, so here's a puzzle case that i think shows that a causal epistemic decision- Theory is not very good at assessing your belief state in this global kind of way. What we wanted was the total accuracy, the total degree of fit between everything you've got and the truth s/he tells us. We can't see any remotely minor tweak to eraising by any sort of empirical experiment which would make it more or less true.
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