2min chapter

Dwarkesh Podcast cover image

Joseph Carlsmith - Utopia, AI, & Infinite Ethics

Dwarkesh Podcast

CHAPTER

The Self Indication Assumption

Sodyou wants to explain the two different ways of thinking about azero effects and theimp sodyou want to explain, you have a four part series on this. Oa, still, let let's talk about, a, the two different Ways of Thinking About A Zero Effect. Sodyou: The self indication assumption says that your probability that the coin came heads should be approximately one in a million. That's because it's more likely that you exist in worlds where there are more people in your epistemic situation or more people who have your evidence.

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