AI-powered
podcast player
Listen to all your favourite podcasts with AI-powered features
2min chapter
Predicting the Future ft. Stephen Grugett
The New Liberal Podcast
Prediction Markets - Are They Good?
Manifold performed better than any of their real money prediction markets on the most recent midterm elections. But very surprisingly we did slightly worse than 538 and metaculous 538 is a poll aggregator using some stats magic. Since we open source near and all of our information if you want to do any number crunching on our platform you can. Yeah I'm not surprised about the 538 thing I'll come back to that especially for political markets.
00:00
Transcript
Episode notes
Get the Snipd
podcast app
Unlock the knowledge in podcasts with the podcast player of the future.
AI-powered
Discover
highlights
Listen to the best highlights from the podcasts you love and dive into the full episode
Save any
moment
Hear something you like? Tap your headphones to save it with AI-generated key takeaways
Share
& Export
Send highlights to Twitter, WhatsApp or export them to Notion, Readwise & more
AI-powered
podcast player
Listen to all your favourite podcasts with AI-powered features
Discover
highlights
Listen to the best highlights from the podcasts you love and dive into the full episode