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Science and the causes behind Pakistan’s floods

Unexpected Elements

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Climate Change

For the longer duration event, the observations show an increase of about 50 %. And for the short duration the observations shows an increase of 75% or more. This is in line also with observations that have been reported in the most recent i pc c reports in the larger area. The climate models are not doing a fantastic job so it's a bit hard to say this with a lot of certainty. But other lines of evidence that we have all pointig in the same direction. It could well be, like land use changes and and so on, do play an important role,. but it culd be, especially for the shortduration event, that all of this is because of climate change.

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