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Meta’s auction is a probabilistic forecasting engine. Treat it that way and your creative testing stops being guesswork. In this episode, Andrew lays out a first-principles framework for Meta Ads that resolves three tensions operators hit every day:
Consolidation: why “more purchases per ad set” increases model confidence, stabilizes delivery, and compounds performance over time.
Creative supply: how to increase diverse creative volume (not near-duplicates) without kicking high-performing ad sets back into volatility.
False negatives: when Meta gives up too early—and practical ways to limit misses without torching budget.
You’ll leave with a clear mental model for structuring campaigns, setting bid strategies (including when manual bids help and why), deciding ad-per-ad-set counts, and preventing “learning phase” churn.
If margin pressure, inconsistent scaling, or noisy tests are blocking growth, this is a rigorous, operator-grade way to diagnose the system and deploy creative testing that actually compounds.
What you’ll learn:
- The ad-set level is where learning really happens—and how to leverage that
- Why consolidating conversions beats scattering them across many ad sets
- How to design creative pipelines that maximize diversity and minimize redundancy
- Practical safeguards to reduce false negatives without sunk-cost waste
- A simple deployment pattern to add new ads without disrupting scale
- Listen to sharpen your testing strategy and reclaim wasted spend with a framework you can apply this quarter.
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CHAPTER TITLES:
00:01:38 - Why Meta Ad Creative Structure Is Important
00:03:53 - The Value of Purchases In Your Ad Sets
00:07:40 - Conversions Effect Ad Performance
00:10:40 - Purdy & Figg Example
00:17:13 - Utilizing Manual Bids For A Greater Performance
00:21:05 - Creative Volume Is Good
00:32:44 - Avoid False Negatives
00:41:46 - What Should You Do?
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ADMISSION
Get the best media buying training on the Internet + a free coaching call with Common Thread Collective's media buyers when you sign up for ADmission here: https://www.youradmission.co/andrew-faris-podcast
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FOLLOW UP WITH ANDREW
X: https://x.com/andrewjfaris
Email: podcast@ajfgrowth.com
Work with Andrew: https://ajfgrowth.com
