2min chapter

Value Hive Podcast cover image

Josh Young: Energy Value Chain Analysis (Offshore & Onshore)

Value Hive Podcast

CHAPTER

Having a Win Rate on Oil and Gas Stocks Is Important

I think it's important to calibrate carefully and then also to not inappropriately attribute things that happen in certain parts of a cycle going back to oil and gas. Oil and gas stocks may slow down as we get towards let's say the middle part of a cycle outside of certain sort of really specific mispriced stocks or whatever but odds of any oil and gas stock moving by 200 percent in a year are probably a lot lower now than they were in 2020 or 2021. If you're making a bet on volatility on a stock your bar probably should be higher if you're in a lower volatility environment for example.

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