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Overconfidence Is a Classic Bias
Overconfidence is a classic bias. It's been confirmed again and again by psychologists. We set up a little demonstration to see if we could tempt some participants to be overconfident. The scene begins with crackers. How many of these crackers do you think you can eat in, let's say, two minutes? There's ten crackers there. How many do you thinkyou can eat? I would say eat a poll.