Astral Codex Ten Podcast cover image

A Failure, but Not of Prediction

Astral Codex Ten Podcast

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Parachute RCTs or It Didn't Work?

Doctors will not admit any treatment could possibly be good until it has had a lot of randomized controlled trials behind it. Doctors have been burned lots of times before by thinking they were applying common sense and getting things wrong. After your mistakes kill a few thousand people, you start getting really paranoid and careful. The dependency we have created in our population may make recruitment of the unenlightened masses to such a trial difficult.

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