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The Probability of Bitcoin Demonetizing All These Assets
Rafael Navarrette: It doesn't have to be the assumptions of SWAN. They can sensitize themselves to the potential outcomes and do their own probability analysis, he says. "The only thing we know for certain is 100% certain that fiat money will continue to debase"
Swan Bitcoin CIO, Rapha Zagury @alphaazeta and Greg Foss @FossGregfoss bring decades of experience in traditional finance to evaluate the current state of Bitcoin, its potential value as it gains mass adoption, and Rapha’s Nakamoto Portfolio nakamotoportfolio.com — a set of tools, research and open source code to explore the ground breaking effects that Bitcoin has on the financial world.
Timestamps:
00:00:00 “Swan Signal” Intro
00:01:57 Introducing Rapha and Greg Foss
00:03:43 Raphas' Experience on Wall St., and His Journey to Understanding Bitcoin
00:07:52 Issues with Research on Wall St.
00:11:52 The Need for Having “Skin in the Game”
00:16:50 “Nakamoto Portfolio Theory”
00:23:18 How the Public Misunderstands Financial Diversification
00:29:44 What Would Say to People Holding Cash, T-Bills, and Bonds
00:36:02 Problems with Portfolio-Analytics
00:39:10 Shrodeger Model
00:45:30 Bitcoin Probability in Demonetizing Other Assets
00:51:37 How Bitcoin is Default-Insurance on Sovereign Debt
00:56:06 Seeing the Problems with Financial Markets in 2007
01:01:15 Brief History of How the Money Started to Become Fragile
01:03:05 Where to Connect with Rapha and the “Nakamoto Portfolio Theory”
01:06:30 “Swan Signal” Outro
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