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Is It Really Hard to Solve That Uncertainty?
The uncertainty around that made it potentially more likely that he would choose to do this. The inherent uncertainty of the situation just causes a lot of short wars, actually. And so anyone who's ever played poker and bluffed or called a bluff, that's the inefficient. But if we end up in a place where Ukraine is effectively neutral, never joins NATO, not being militarily supplied by the West, Russia will have accomplished what it asked for in the first place.