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35min chapter
#47 - Robin Hanson
LaBossiere Podcast
Predicting the Future
This chapter explores the concept of predicting the future, discussing the accuracy of predictions when aggregated and the decrease in accuracy over larger time scales or social scopes. It touches on the use of long-term trends, fundamental theories, and technology-based predictions. The chapter concludes with a discussion about the book 'The Age of M' and its predictions about the social consequences of a specific technology.
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