THINKING, FAST & SLOW (DANIEL KAHNEMAN) - Listening books
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The Conflict Between Intuition of Representativeness and the Logic of Probability
The stereotypical bank teller is not a feminist activist, and adding that detail to the description improves the fit to Linda's personality. When you specify a possible event in greater detail, you can only lower its probability. The problem sets up a conflict between the intuition of representativeness and the logic of probability. Even in the Facebook era, it is still easy to guess the almost perfect consensus of judgments.
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