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#36 William MacAskill: The Science of Doing Good

The Knowledge Project with Shane Parrish

CHAPTER

The Importance of Uncertainty in Business

People are incredibly over confident in their own views, he says. We think that being very confident in your own view is a mark of epistemic virtue. He wants people to understand and eternalize saying this is 99 % likely to happen - what that really means. And then hopefully that arse gives you a sense of your own fallibility.

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