5min chapter

Clearer Thinking with Spencer Greenberg cover image

How huge a deal is climate change, really? (with Diana Ürge-Vorsatz and Misha Glouberman)

Clearer Thinking with Spencer Greenberg

CHAPTER

The Super Forecaster Report - A Brief Summary

Good Judgment Super Forecasters analyze 22 questions related to the long-term risk of climate change. Halfway through the project, 10 subject matter experts examine the initial forecasts and provided the Super Forecasters with feedback. Over the course of the project, 51 Super Forecasters made a total of 1,377 forecasts and 1,821 extended comments.

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