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State of Play in Ukraine: Former Moscow Chief of Station Rolf Mowatt-Larssen

Intelligence Matters

CHAPTER

Do You Think That Ukrane Can Actually Win Militarily and Drive the Russians Out of Ukraine?

I'm not sure that the ukranian army will reach a level of fighting ability to expel the russians completely militarily from ukraine. That doesn't seem likely, particularly in eastern ukrainea and maybe even southern crane. The standard is, can they make the insurgency so painful, which has happened to countries like ours in the lastmy lifetime a few times via nom afghanistan? I don't know what that looks like, frankly, but we've got to hope there can be some kind of a negotiation on the table that would be acceptable to ukrana and russia. i can't see the outlines of that agreement right now.

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