3min chapter

Effective Altruism: An Introduction – 80,000 Hours cover image

Seven: Prof Tetlock on why accurate forecasting matters for everything, and how you can do it better

Effective Altruism: An Introduction – 80,000 Hours

CHAPTER

Is the World a Better World?

In a competitive nation state systemwe there's no real government that even intelligent, self ware leaders will have serious conflicts of interest. I think you're less likely to observe gross miscalculations either in trade negotiations or in nuclear negotiations. You'll also be better at quatify uncertainty in these exercises. What do you thik it wouldlook like to live in a world wherealetes around the world a better predicting social and political trends? How confident are you that this world would, would be safe for u, especially from kind of war and war and catastrophes?

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