I'm Not Surprised by the Behavior of the Opponents

"i want a science that is predictive of the behaviors of those in power and of the dynamics of power," he says. "If you're if you're constantly shocked by the behavior of your adversaries you probably don't really have a strategy for defeating those adversaries um so i want to not be surprised" The author also argues that we tend to see people as fundamentally more like ourselves than they actually are when we speculate about what people are. 'It's really really hard not to indulge our cognitive biases'