Clay Graubard and Robert de Neufville on forecasting the war in Ukraine
80k After Hours
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Is Russia Going to Invade Ucrane?
The question of whether russia would invade was sucking up so much oxygen that there wasn't as much thought going into this question, like, how would the invasion play out? I think it's definitely true that right russia has not performed as everyone would expect it to fight all euse equal. And i don't want to undersell the able ucrania performance, but i think that has also been a big factor that maybe we didn't think about, or i didn't think n certainly, before the war started.
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